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The stars were out on Christmas day when James harden took over from the shorthanded Nets, losing a triple-double (36-10-10) to lead the Nets to their 22nd victory at the top of the Eastern Conference. Harden will have to blame the team again as Kyrie remains out and Durant is also expected to miss his third straight. With that, Harden feels a bit underrated considering his usage spikes of up to almost 35% while also totaling a fantastic 1.5 points per minute with Durant off the field. The Clippers have a Top 5 defense but are also shorthanded so I expect this game to remain relatively close, allowing Harden to get another full set. Launch it in all formats.
On the other side of this confrontation we have Eric Bledsoé who was pushed back into the starting rotation with Reggie Jackson falling on the Covid list. He was turned off with the added opportunity to play at least 36 minutes and lose at least 18 points in both games. He also added a ton of side points equivalent to 1.2 fantasy points per minute which absolutely crushed the value on both sites. The price has increased slightly, but as long as it is in the starting rotation there is still a huge opportunity to buy low on both sites.
Also consider: LaMelo Ball (CHA) who saw their price drop back into the mid range of $ 9,000 on both sites and get a terrific match
This game has the lowest total on the slate, so it probably doesn’t get as much attention, but still has a ton of value throughout. For me it starts with LaVine coming back from a two week absence yesterday and looking great losing 12 of 18 shots for 49 DK / 46.3 FD points against the Pacers. He’s now getting an even better matchup against the Hawks who rank 24th in defensive efficiency and, best of all, his price has fallen back into the $ 9,000 average range. DraftKings and mid-range $ 8,000 on FanDuel. Lock and load in all formats.
Malik beasley FD – $ 6,000 DK – $ 6,200
Opponent – BO
Proj points FD – 28.61 DK – 32.19
Minnesota’s roster is a bit of a mess right now with several players (Russell, Vanderbilt, Towns, Beverley, Okogie, Reid) in health and safety protocols. We won’t know exactly who’s available until later today, but a player who is “healthy” and should get all the work he can handle is Malik beasley. He’s been excellent in the short term playing 30 minutes or more in each of the last four games averaging 18 shots, 21 points, and 34 DK / 31 FD points per game. The game against the Celtics (10th in strength) is not obvious, but Beasley should again have tons of opportunities allowing him to easily reach his bottom value. Great for gambling, but in-game in all formats given T-Wolve’s numerical inferiority tonight.
Kelly Oubre Jr. FD – $ 6,300 DK – $ 6,100
Opponent – HOU
Proj points FD – 35.03 DK – 36.87
It is usually very difficult to play Oubre in cash game as 6th man but with both Cody martin and Miles Bridges outside, he’s scheduled to make another start. We even have a nice sample size to look back on as he made four straight starts in early December where he shot over 51% on 20 shots per game averaging a fantastic 47 points. It’s also a game we’re going to want a lot of exposure to with two teams ranking 29th and 30th in defensive efficiency and in the Top 3 in pace. Considering that Oubre was in the average range of $ 8,000 on DraftKings Just two weeks ago, without starting, we should probably locate and load all formats in the $ 6,000 (DK) range.
DeAndré ‘Bembry FD – $ 4,500 DK – $ 4,200
Opponent – LAKE
Proj Pts FD – 27.24 DK – 27.85
I mentioned that the Nets were shorthanded above and Bembry is another player who will have an extra opportunity. He returned on Christmas Day after missing three games on the Covid roster and looked good playing 27 minutes, dropping 6 of 8 on the pitch and totaling a fantastic 27 points. In an almost identical situation for the Nets, Bembry’s price has only risen slightly and, being his second comeback, is expected to last a bit longer. Put it all together and you have one of the best PTS / $ values on the slate.
Also consider: Nassir Little (POR) who comes back tonight, has good value, and as someone who gets most of their value from bouncing, gets a more advantageous game, as the Mavs are ranked 25th in that department.
Front / center power
Jayson tatum FD – $ 9,900 DK – $ 10,400
Opponent – MIN
Proj Pts FD – 48.4 DK – 52.23
If you’re looking for the consistency of a high-priced game, look no further than Jason Tatum. He leads the Celtics with a 31.5% use rate over the season and has been formidable in the short term posting 40 or more fantasy points in 10 of his last 12 games while averaging a just over 47 at both sites and came close to a double-double rebound in four straight games. He now gets one more clash against a shorthanded Minnesota team that leads a top 10 pace. Lock in consistent minutes and output across all formats and move on!
** Update ** Tatum has entered health and safety protocols and is coming out tonight **
Christian wood FD – $ 7,900 DK – $ 8,200
Opponent – CHA
Proj points FD – 39.64 DK – 42.81
Wood had knee pain that limited his minutes, but the 3-4 day vacation should bring him back to his usual rotation. This is great news as the price has dropped to its lowest level since late November making it a great low buy in a big clash against the Hornets who finished last in defensive efficiency and executed the third fastest pace. fast. Even with only around 30 minutes per game lately, he has totaled 36 or more DK points in four straight games and has averaged just under 40 per game in the last 10. At these prices, I will be exhibited in all formats.
Nicolas claxton FD – $ 6,200 DK – $ 4,900
Opponent – LAKE
Proj points FD – 28.42 DK – 28.92
Value is the name of the game recently with all the covid issues across the league. Claxton has started for the Nets in three straight games and has been quite productive losing 20 of 28 shots (71%) with 27 or more fantasy points (DK) in each game. The game doesn’t look great on paper as the Clippers are 4th in defensive efficiency, but they’re also shorthanded so I’m not at all worried. The price on FanDuel jumped up a bit doing it GPP just for me but on DraftKings, it is under $ 5,000 and has the best PTS / $ value at the position.
Also consider: Nathan Knight (MIN) which could take the start for the cities and is close to the minimum price
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