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Fred Van Vleet FD – $8,600 DK – $8,500
Opponent – CHA
Project Pts FD – 42.63 DK – 45.88
Only five games tonight, but exceptional matchups await and it starts with the Raptors getting the best of them against a Hornets team that is 24th in defensive efficiency and running the second-quickest pace in the league. For Fred, it starts with consistency as he’s dropped 40 or more DK points in eight straight (45.0 average) and only shooting 34% from the field during that time. The best news here is that its DK price has dropped to its lowest level since late November, making it an elite game for me across all formats.
Kyle Lowry FD – $5,600 DK – $6,600
Opponent – HAS BEEN
Proj Pts FD – 26.36 DK – 29.79
Lowry has been limited in both games since his return with the second most on the huge blowout than him actually being limited as he still ended up playing 31 minutes. It should be back full tonight and that’s great news as its price has fallen to season lows at both venues. This game has the lowest total (209) on this list, but it’s an above-average game for the Heat, with the Wizards ranking 21st in defensive efficiency. All things considered, Lowry is on my shortlist for the best PTS/$ games tonight on both sites.
Donovan Mitchell FD – $8,500 DK – $8,400
Opponent – New York
Project Pts FD – 39 DK – 42.32
Mitchell made his return to the Jazz on Friday and although he was relieved playing just 22 minutes, he looked great dropping 8 of 10 from the field (6 of 7 from behind the arc) for 42.8 DK points. / 38.6 FD. It should return to its usual rotation on Monday and that’s great news as the price remains suppressed, especially on DraftKings where it’s been in the $9,000s for most of the season. It’s a high-volume shooter that also contributes to multiple categories, making it a great game in every format on this small five-game roster.
Aaron’s Vacation FD – $3,800 DK – $3,100
Opponent – MIA
Proj Pts FD – 17.98 DK – 18.65
With Beal out for the past three games, Holiday has stepped into a starting role and is becoming relevant as his playing time has slowly started to increase. He mostly depends on shooting, which may be a downfall, but the good news is that he attempted 10 shots in the last game and provided a nice 6x return. On a smaller roster with little to no value at the time of this writing, I’m very interested in a minimum price player who will start and see minutes in the mid to high 20s.
Also consider: Josh Giddey (OKC) which received a big bump of use without SGA in the range
Evan Fournier FD – $5,300 DK – $5,500
Opponent – UTA
Proj Pts FD – 24.99 DK – 27.82
The small forward position is once again a minefield and likely comes down to the latest injury news and starting lineups to fill the spot(s). For now, I like the PTS/$ floor that Fournier has provided in the short term, as the volume has been there averaging 15+ shots over the last four games while hitting 5x or more in each of them. ‘them. The match isn’t great but it’s not terrible either as the Jazz rank in the middle of the pack (roughly) in both defensive efficiency (12th) and pace (16th). He’s not going to win you a GPP but I like the PTS/$ floor Fournier is providing for cash games tonight.
Although sometimes inconsistent, OG Anunoby (TOR) is in a great position here in the best game on the board, but the question is how many Raptors is too much?? I would be interested too Javonte Green(CHI) if Zach Lavine is out again.
Pascal Siakam FD – $9,700 DK – $9,200
Opponent – CHA
Proj Pts FD – 43.91 DK – 46.33
Back to the best game on the board as the Raptors take on a struggling Hornets defense (24th) that is operating at a sprint pace (2nd fastest). While I love Fred VanVleet tonight, Siakam is at the top of my Raptors exhibit as he’s been on a warpath since late December. In those 21 games, he only managed to hit 45 DK points five times averaging 49.5. He’s been a solid contributor throughout that span, averaging 23.2 points, 9.4 rebounds, 6.3 assists, and 2.7 blocks/steals. All things considered, it should probably be in the $10,000+ range, so this looks like a low-priced buying opportunity. Lock and load!
Darius Bazley FD – $5,300 DK – $5,400
Opponent – GS
Proj Pts FD – 29.86 DK – 31.56
While the Thunder draw the toughest game on the board and in the league (GS #1 in def eff), value is hard to come by on this small slate and Bazley fits the mold perfectly. First of all, he started each of the last two games, saw an increase in usage in the last game taking 14 hits, and even at a rising price he hit 5x or more at those prices in five consecutive matches. It would also be a huge boost if Lu Dort were to miss a second game in a row with a broken nose. Stay tuned for news and starting compositions that will greatly affect my exposure to Bazley.
Bam Adebayo FD – $9,400 DK – $9,000
Opponent – HAS BEEN
Project Pts FD – 41.86 DK – 44.36
If you’re anything like me, you’re probably sick of Jimmy Butler’s list that hasn’t been close to consistent but still keeps the price hovering around the $10,000 mark. The good news here regarding the Heat and their above average game (WAS 21st in def eff) is that there are better options and it starts with Bam who has been an all-around beast lately. He arrives tonight after hitting a double-double in five of his last six games averaging 19.3 points and 11.2 rebounds during that span and provided at least 43 DK points in each. I see that trend continuing in this game tonight, making it one of my favorite payouts on the slate.
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