NBA DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Sunday 3/27/22

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Only two weeks left in the regular season! It’s been an amazing year, and it’s actually one of my favorite times to play. There is so much rest and weirdness in these rotations, that paying attention is a significant benefit. It may seem like a simple recipe, but understanding how those rotations will pan out at this time of year puts you ahead of the pack. We feel like we have a better read than most, so let’s start with two of the best PGs in our sport!

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peak guard

Kyrie IrvingKyrie Irving FD – $10,800 DK – $10,500
Opponent – CHA
Proj Pts FD – 48.24 DK – 49.08

Kyrie has made headlines at times for all the wrong reasons this season, but we have to discuss how absurd this guy is on the basketball court. That’s why he has all this notoriety, and it’s honestly a sight to see this dude working. In his last nine games played, Irving is averaging 35.4 points, 4.3 rebounds, 6.2 assists, 1.7 steals and 1.1 blocks per game. That equates to 57 DraftKings points per game, one of the highest totals in the NBA. It’s scary because he will be very motivated here, playing his first game at home with the silly mandate lifted. Not to mention he faces a Charlotte team that ranks third in pace and 28th in total defense.

Chris PaulChris Paul FD – $6,600 DK – $7,200
Opponent – ISP
Project Pts FD – 35.79 DK – 35.54

It’s strange to see such a cheap CP3. We’re talking about one of the greatest playmakers of all time during one of the best seasons of his career. Price’s drop is clearly due to his return from injury, but playing 30 minutes in his return to action tells us he’s basically ready for a full workload. He finished with 46 DK points in that comeback, which is impressive considering he had at least a fantastic 36 points in 15 of 16 games prior to the injury. We don’t necessarily like the game against a stingy Philadelphia defense, but the point guard position is one place you can exploit them. In their only meeting earlier this year, CP3 collected 42 DK points in another vintage performance.

Jordan Poole has at least 32 DK points in 12 straight games and leaves without Stephen Curry.

shooting guard

CJ McCollumCJ McCollum FD – $7,800 DK – $8,600
Opponent – ALL
Proj Pts FD – 44.04 DK – 45.31

Portland made a mistake trading this guy, but New Orleans is reaping all the benefits. Having him has been more critical than ever right now, with the Pelicans trying to get by without Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram. Those two stallions being out left McCollum all he can handle, posting a 34% usage rate with those guys on the floor. More importantly, he has scored at least 37 DraftKings points in 16 straight games, generating an average of 45 points over that span. That’s on par with our projection, but could be low considering he faces a Lakers team that ranks sixth in pace and 26th in points allowed.

Bruce BrownBruce Brown FD – $6,700 DK – $6,200
Opponent – CHA
Proj Pts FD – 29.57 DK – 28.64

A lot of people might not realize it, but Brown is one of the most important players on this Nets team. This guy brings energy every night, and he also filled the stat sheet with ease. He’s scored at least 32 DK points in eight of his last 10 games, averaging 33 points in that span. That’s really all you can hope for from a player making just $6,000, especially since he regularly plays 35-40 minutes a night. The best part is this game, though, with the Hornets boasting a 27th OPRK against opposing wings this season while generating the ugly defensive stats mentioned in Irving’s article.

Monk Malik is a decent clearing play around $5,000 against poor Pelicans defense.

small forward

Jayson TatumJayson Tatum FD – $9,400 DK – $9,600
Opponent – MIN
Proj Pts FD – 46.51 DK – 48.03

It’s hard to understand why JT didn’t go over $10,000. This guy has been playing at this level for two months now, taking Boston to the NBA’s best record in that span. Tatum has scored at least 34 DraftKings points in 33 of his last 34 games, averaging a fantastic 47 points per game over that span. Doing that damage is all the more remarkable considering Boston knocked out many of their opponents during that span. We love that in a game like this because it should be a tight game against a hot Minnesota team. It’s also a fantastic matchup, with the T’Wolves playing at the fastest pace in the NBA while being ranked 20th in total defense.

Otto Porter Jr.Otto Porter Jr. FD – $5,600 DK – $4,500
Opponent – HAS BEEN
Proj Pts FD – 19.59 DK – 19.19

I’ve always believed that Porter was an underrated player, and it’s clear these sites don’t show the same sentiment. The $4,500 price tag on DraftKings is particularly insulting, with OPJ playing at a $7,000 level since Curry’s downfall. In fact, Porter has scored at least 38 DK points in two of his last three games. He has always shown that ability, averaging 32 DK points per game in the 16 outings he has played for at least 26 minutes. The game against Washington is also wonderful, with the Wizards ranked 25th in defensive efficiency. It’s also a game of revenge for Otto, which just adds to the long list of reasons we love him here.

We’ve already discussed how sexy a match with Charlotte is, which makes Kevin Durant one of the most unmistakable games out there.

Power forward

Kristaps PorzingisKristaps Porzingis FD – $8,700 DK – $8,500
Opponent – GS
Proj Pts FD – 44.71 DNK – 44.24

The Porzingis trade was bizarre for many reasons, but it looks like Washington came away with quite the robbery. The big man has always shown his ability to be a stallion, and he’s currently the Wizards’ offense with Kyle Kuzma and Bradley Beal both sidelined. This has led KP to score at least 37 DK points in seven of their last eight games while scoring over 57 in two of their previous three games. It’s hardly surprising when you see that it took 40 shots during these two outings while offering an absurd utilization rate of 37%. If he continues to do so, KP must earn an additional $1,000 from each site. It’s not like anyone from Golden State can keep him either, with the Warriors playing their worst basketball of the season right now.

Robert WilliamsIIIRobert WilliamsIII FD – $6,800 DK – $6,000
Opponent – MIN
Proj Pts FD – 30.83 DK – 28.91

Any time you have the opportunity to use one of these big Boston men when the other is out, you have to take it. Al Horford has already been ruled out for this game, leaving Williams with all the center minutes. That means it’s guaranteed for 30-35 minutes, which is scary since this guy is nicknamed The Time Lord. If you look at the 45 games that Williams has played at least 25 minutes, he averages 37 DK points per game! That’s an incredible total, and it’s scary to think he’ll have even more fun here against the fastest team in the NBA. It’s not like Karl-Anthony Towns was a bad game either, establishing himself as one of the worst defensive centers around.

Draymond Green has been terrible since its return, but its price is getting too cheap.

Center

Rudy GobertRudy Gobert FD – $7,400 DK – $7,800
Opponent – LAD
Proj Pts FD – 41.29 DK – 41.36

Big Rudy should never be below $8,000. This guy is one of the most reliable players in fantasy, scoring at least 27 DK points in all but five games this season. This low is matched by a magnificent average of 41 points, which makes it difficult to understand why Rudy’s price has fallen. That floor has been even higher recently, with Gobert scoring at least 32 DK points in seven of his last eight games. Dallas has one of the toughest defenses in the NBA, but they really struggle with opposing centers. In their three meetings this season, Rudy is averaging 37 points against that terrible center rotation.

André DrummondAndré Drummond FD – $5,500 DK – $5,600
Opponent – CHA
Proj Pts FD – 27.93 DK – 27.39

Why has Drummond’s price dropped so much? He’s being asked to do a ton in LaMarcus Aldridge’s absence, playing 25 minutes a night in this expanded role. That might not sound like a lot, but we’re talking about a player who averages 1.3 DK points per minute for his career. That’s what he’s been lately, with Dre averaging 30 DK points per game over 23 minutes per night in his last seven games played. This is all horrifying news for the Hornets, with Charlotte giving up the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season. In this game two weeks ago, Drum dropped 48 DK points in one of the best games of the season!

Jonas Valanciunas should feast against a Lakers defense that lacks a legitimate center.

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